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Insider Trading on Prediction Markets to Be Banned?

📜 Insider Trading Debate in Prediction Markets
Kalshi Endorsement: Tarek Mansour, CEO of Kalshi, stated support for the "Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026" introduced by U.S. Rep. Ritchie Torres in January 2026. In a LinkedIn post, Mansour wrote: "Kalshi is supportive of the bill Ritchie Torres is looking to introduce to affirm the ban on insider trading on prediction markets," and "we already implemented it." The bill prohibits federal elected officials, political appointees, and executive branch employees from trading on prediction markets related to government policy, actions, or political outcomes. This followed a Polymarket account profiting $400,000 on bets related to Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro.
Contrasting Platform Views: Kalshi applies insider trading rules from the New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq, prohibiting trades on material non-public information. Mansour noted such activity constitutes a financial crime for those with access to it. He stated: "However, it's important to emphasize that this American bill only applies to regulated American companies and not to unregulated, non-American companies, which is where the alleged issues are occurring." He also addressed media conflation, stating: "This should be obvious, but some recent reporting has been conflating regulated prediction markets with unregulated, offshore prediction markets. What non-American, unregulated platforms do has no relationship to what regulated, American platforms do."
Alternative Perspectives: In contrast, Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan has stated: “What’s cool about Polymarket is that it creates this financial incentive for people to go and divulge the information to the market.” Some experts, including economist Robin Hanson, argue that allowing trading on non-public information improves prediction market accuracy by incorporating all information quickly, unlike stock markets where bans encourage broader participation. Reports have described approaches like Polymarket's as viewing such trading as a feature of prediction markets. Read More.
️ On today's Top Picks:
- 🐰 MegaETH to launch public mainnet soon.
- 🪂 Solana Mobile to launch Seeker airdrop on...
- 📜 Supreme Court to issue ruling on Trump's tariffs.
- 🚨 ~$12B scammer Chen Zhi arrested in Cambodia.
Read time: ⏰ 7 minutes
Crypto News
• ⭐️ Kalshi endorses bill banning insider trading on prediction markets; US Rep. Ritchie Torres introduced a bill that would ban federal elected officials, political appointees, among others from betting on prediction markets.
• Morgan Stanley $MS files for Bitcoin $BTC, Ethereum $ETH, & Solana $SOL ETFs; recently launched crypto trading on its E*Trade platform in September 2025.
• MSCI announces it will not exclude crypto treasury companies $MSTR $BMNR $FWDI from its indexes; says distinguishing between investment companies and those holding digital assets requires further research.
• YZi Labs criticizes CEA Industries' $BNC poison pill & defensive measure to maintain board control; YZi Labs attempted to take over the board in December 2025 citing $BNB strategy betrayal & more.
• Wyoming Stable Token Commission launches public access to its Frontier Stable Token $FRNT; available on Solana $SOL through Kraken.
• JPMorgan Chase $JPM launches JPM Coin $JPMD on Canton Network $CC; initially launched on Coinbase's $COIN Base network in November 2025.
• Rumble $RUM & Tether launch Rumble Wallet, a non-custodial crypto wallet integrated directly into the Rumble platform; enables audiences to tip creators in $BTC, $USDT, & $XAUT.
• World Liberty Financial $WLFI applies for a National Trust Bank Charter to issue & custody $USD1 stablecoins; US OCC recently granted approvals to Circle $CRCL, Ripple $XRP, BitGo, Fidelity Digital Assets, & Paxos.
• Polymarket $POLY partners with Dow Jones Media to supply prediction-market data to publications such as WSJ, Barron's, & Investor’s Business Daily; Polymarket also recently partnered with Yahoo Finance.
• Crypto[.]com $CRO announces partnerships with Stripe, Changer[.]ae, & Kyobo Lifeplanet; recently received approval for VASP License from Cayman Islands Monetary Authority.
• Fireblocks acquires TRES Finance, an onchain accounting platform, for reportedly ~$130M; Fireblocks also acquired First Digital Assets Group in 2022, BlockFold in 2023, & Dynamic in 2024.
• Nike $NKE reportedly sells RTFKT stake to an unnamed buyer for undisclosed amount; RTFKT wound down operations in December 2024.
Alpha
• ⭐️ Coinbase $COIN adds MegaETH $MEGA to its listing roadmap; MegaETH to potentially launch public mainnet & TGE soon.
• Tempo announces TIP-20, "Tempo's native token standard, designed for stablecoins and payments use cases"; Tempo recently launched its public testnet.
• Katana $KAT to launch TGE on ~May 20th; Katana Kaito Season 2 is live; Season 1 ended on December 31st.
• Cascade hits $3M pre-allocation cap for its Liquidity Strategy; depositors are currently earning Cascade Points; to potentially raise cap in the future.
• Mezo $MEZO launches Mezo Bankcard; users can create a Bankcard to earn up to 7,000 mats.
• Jumper extends SafePal perk until March 31st; level 10+ Jumper Pass users are eligible; to launch more perks soon.
• Octant launches Epoch 10 allocation window; cohort includes Protocol Guild, EthStaker, Revoke[.]cash, ZachXBT, among others.
Airdrops
• ⭐️ Seeker $SKR (Solana Mobile) to launch airdrop on January 21st; Seeker users & developers will be eligible.
• Brevis $BREV launches airdrop claim; registration closed on January 3rd though unregistered users may still be eligible; to close claim after 30 days.
• ICYMI Binance $BNB launches Brevis $BREV HODLer airdrop; BNB Simple Earn and/or BNB On-Chain Yields subscribers from December 17th to December 19th are eligible.
• ICYMI Mezo $MEZO to close airdrop registration soon; Mezo Mats (points) holders are eligible.
• ICYMI Rainbow $RNBW to launch airdrop on February 5th (~31 days); Rainbow Points holders will be eligible; snapshot has yet to be taken.
• ICYMI Fogo $FOGO to launch airdrop on January 13th; Fogo Flames (points) holders & more will be eligible.
Finance News
• ⭐️ US Supreme Court to issue ruling on President Trump's tariffs on January 9th; Polymarket predicts a ~24% chance the Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs.
• US Secretary of State Marco Rubio to discuss the "acquisition" of Greenland with representatives from Denmark next week; Polymarket predicts a ~17% chance the US will acquire part of Greenland in 2026.
• Venezuela to "turn over" 30M to 50M barrels of crude oil to the US; notably, the average gas price in the US falls to the lowest level since 2021.
• Venezuela Caracas Stock Exchange is up ~100% following the US capture of Nicolás Maduro; up ~207% in the last 10 trading days.
• US President Trump to ban dividends, stock buybacks, & limit executive pay to $5M for defense companies $RTX $LMT $GD $NOC; says they need to build new production plants; also calls for the US military budget for 2027 to be raised to $1.5T.
• China tells companies to pause Nvidia $NVDA H200 chip orders; to consider how to go forward without jeopardizing its homegrown semiconductor industry.
• xAI raises $20B in Series E funding, exceeding target of $15B; investors include Nvidia $NVDA, Valor Equity Partners, Fidelity, Qatar Investment Authority, Cisco $CSCO, among others.
• Riot Platforms $RIOT sold 1,818 Bitcoin $BTC (~$165M) in December 2025; currently holds 18,005 BTC (~$1.6B).
• Cipher Mining $CIFR appoints Lee Bratcher as head of policy & government affairs; appoints Drew Armstrong as head of strategic initiatives.
• US House of Representatives to vote on banning Congress from trading stocks by end of January; Polymarket predicts a ~16% chance Congress is banned from trading stocks before 2027.
• US President Trump bans institutional investors $BX $INVH from buying single-family homes; large institutional investors currently account for 2% to 3% of single-family home purchases.
• US December ADP employment increased by 41K, below expectations of 47K; November's ADP employment decreased by 32K.
Security and Exploits
• ⭐️ Chen Zhi, an alleged mastermind of a "pig butchering" crypto fraud ring, was arrested in Cambodia; the US DOJ charged Zhi & seized ~$12B in Bitcoin $BTC in October 2025; Zhi has since been extradited to China.
• IPOR recovers ~$336K after being exploited due to "external factors (Pectra/ERC-7702) combined with a legacy validation gap"; the attacker accepted a 10% bounty & returned remaining funds.
• DefiLlama launches new features for its DefiLlama browser extension; now hides scam ERC20 transfers & integrates its search directory of verified links to crypto websites.
• $ASML denies allegations that it had been hacked; says "...these claims are unfounded. No ASML data was exposed..."
Token Unlocks
• Hyperliquid $HYPE / ~$331M / JAN 06th
• Wormhole $W / ~$2M / JAN 09th
• Optimism $OP / ~$1.4M / JAN 10th
• Aptos $APT / ~$21M / JAN 11th
Sourced from Tokenomist
Funding
• Babylon $BABY raises $15M in funding from a16z Crypto.
• HabitTrade raises $10M in Series A funding led by Newborn Town.
• ZenChain $ZTC raises $8.5M in funding led by Watermelon Capital, DWF Labs, & Genesis Capital.
• Ubyx raises an undisclosed amount in Strategic funding from Barclays $BCS.
• jpeg raises an undisclosed amount in Angel funding from several investors.
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| HALALUSDT | 18.50% | |
| USD1USDC | 17.93% | |
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That’s it for today’s edition! See you soon.


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